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Championship header 2

League Two
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Brunton Park
Crewe Alexandra

Carlisle
1 - 1
Crewe

Sadi (2')
Harris (64'), Jones (72'), Kelly (81'), Neal (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lankester (82' pen.)
Connolly (11'), Billington (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Doncaster
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Crewe
Monday, November 25 at 8pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 0-2 Crewe Alexandra

 Carlisle may find their match with Crewe to be a frustrating affair due to their opponents' defensive strength, and this resilience may be too much for the bottom-placed side to overcome. To add to this, Carlisle have been contrastingly poor defensively, and may struggle to keep Crewe at bay. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
33.69% (-1.606 -1.61) 25.67% (0.507 0.51) 40.64% (1.096 1.1)
Both teams to score 54.94% (-2.08 -2.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (-2.544 -2.54)49.09% (2.543 2.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.84% (-2.344 -2.34)71.16% (2.342 2.34)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-2.176 -2.18)27.8% (2.175 2.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (-2.872 -2.87)63.39% (2.872 2.87)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (-0.572 -0.57)23.9% (0.571 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.89% (-0.825 -0.83)58.11% (0.824 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 33.69%
    Crewe Alexandra 40.64%
    Draw 25.67%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.366 0.37)
2-1 @ 7.79% (-0.273 -0.27)
2-0 @ 5.44% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.335 -0.34)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.285 -0.29)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 33.69%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.666 0.67)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.293 -0.29)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 9.51% (0.808 0.81)
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.81% (0.474 0.47)
1-3 @ 4.16% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.25% (0.175 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.044 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 40.64%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Crewe

Carlisle United
27.3%
Draw
27.3%
Crewe Alexandra
45.5%
11
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 24
Crewe
0-3
Carlisle
Feeney (6'), Moxon (46'), Dennis (72')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Carlisle
0-0
Crewe
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 25
Crewe
4-1
Carlisle
Ainley (17'), Powell (26', 31'), Anene (34')
Dale (72')
Iredale (56')
Sagaf (24'), Loft (30')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 13
Carlisle
2-4
Crewe
Hope (59'), Elliott (64')
Hunt (7'), Powell (27'), Porter (78'), Gethin (85' og.)
Nolan (86')
Feb 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Crewe
2-1
Carlisle
Porter (3'), Miller (73')
Ng (31'), Ray (44')
Miller (29')
O'Hare (34'), Hope (65'), Grainger (72'), Cullen (92')
Devitt (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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