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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
47.57% (![]() | 26.04% (![]() | 26.39% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.94% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.22% (![]() | 53.78% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.74% (![]() | 75.25% (![]() |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.39% (![]() | 22.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.77% (![]() | 56.22% (![]() |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.54% (![]() | 35.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.77% (![]() | 72.22% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 11.92% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.19% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 2.97% Total : 47.57% | 1-1 @ 12.35% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.02% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.76% ( ![]() Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.31% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.41% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 2.02% Total : 26.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |