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Championship header 2

League Two
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Mansfield Town

Wrexham
2 - 0
Mansfield

Mullin (32', 67' pen.)
McClean (3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Clarke (45'), Reed (69'), Lewis (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 Wrexham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 23 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Mansfield Town

 This promises to be a closely contested game due to how much is on the line when it comes to the League Two promotion battle, and their previous encounters this season have showcased that there is little to split them. However, with Wrexham boasting a home advantage and the confidence that Mansfield has been unable to beat them this season, it could be Parkinson's men that edges this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawMansfield Town
41.43% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16) 24.51% (0.081 0.08) 34.05% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Both teams to score 59.05% (-0.271 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.21% (-0.362 -0.36)43.79% (0.36 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.82% (-0.355 -0.35)66.18% (0.352 0.35)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.79% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)21.21% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.89% (-0.359 -0.36)54.1% (0.355 0.35)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.126 -0.13)25.05% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)59.73% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 41.43%
    Mansfield Town 34.05%
    Draw 24.51%
WrexhamDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.39% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 41.43%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.031999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.09% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.05%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Mansfield

Wrexham
85.7%
Draw
4.8%
Mansfield Town
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Mansfield
1-2
Wrexham
Oates (60')
Reed (68')
Dalby (23'), Mullin (58')
Evans (32'), Davies (90+3')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Mansfield
0-0
Wrexham
Clarke (18'), Cargill (19')
Evans (69')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2008 3pm
Mansfield
2-1
Wrexham
Mullins (54'), Louis (51' pen.)
Mar 1, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-1
Mansfield
Proctor (70')
Bolland (35')
Boulding (53')
Mar 31, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
0-0
Mansfield
Williams (12'), Proctor (65')
Jelleyman (27'), White (41'), Hamshaw (65'), Brown (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
> League Two Full Table


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