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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Morecambe
1 - 3
Wrexham

Garner (4')
Melbourne (39'), Songo'o (42'), Edwards (63')
Melbourne (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McClean (32'), Mullin (55' pen.), Fletcher (80')
Barnett (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Crawley
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 4-0 Accrington
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Wrexham

Morecambe have made progressive strides in recent weeks, while Wrexham returned to winning ways in their last match in emphatic fashion, so this should be an entertaining game. However, Parkinson's side are considerably stronger at home than they are away, so we can envisage both sides settling for a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawWrexham
31.66% (-0.148 -0.15) 26.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 42.22% (0.199 0.2)
Both teams to score 52.82% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.47% (0.158 0.16)51.53% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.67% (0.135 0.14)73.33% (-0.134 -0.13)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.67% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)30.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)66.51% (0.02600000000001 0.03)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81% (0.169 0.17)24.19% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48% (0.241 0.24)58.52% (-0.238 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 31.66%
    Wrexham 42.22%
    Draw 26.12%
MorecambeDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.41% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.22% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 31.66%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 10.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.39% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.17% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 42.22%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Wrexham

Morecambe
29.4%
Draw
17.6%
Wrexham
52.9%
17
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Wrexham
6-0
Morecambe
Senior (5' og.), Mullin (7', 67', 77'), Mendy (35'), Jones (90+6')
Cannon (19')

McKiernan (56')
Jan 29, 2008 3pm
Morecambe
2-2
Wrexham
Curtis (8')
Yates (67')
Sonner (30' pen.)
Tremarco (35'), Hope (75')
Hope (90')
Aug 18, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
2-1
Morecambe
Proctor (6', 22')
Llewellyn (68'), Proctor (90')

Yates (15')
rhs 2.0
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Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83


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