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Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Accrington Stanley

Wrexham
4 - 0
Accrington

Mullin (17', 25', 35'), Lee (41')
McClean (75')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Woods (47')
Shipley (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Wrexham
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Accrington Stanley

Both teams head into this fixture in rather shaky form, but given Wrexham's impressive record at the Racecourse Ground this season, with no team taking more points at home than Wrexham so far this campaign, we expect them to emerge victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawAccrington Stanley
61.8% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 20.12% (0.0030000000000001 0) 18.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)37.74% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40% (-0.055 -0.05)59.99% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.23% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)11.76% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.06% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)36.93% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.73% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)34.26% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)70.95% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 61.8%
    Accrington Stanley 18.07%
    Draw 20.12%
WrexhamDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 6.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 61.8%
1-1 @ 9.24% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.12%
1-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 4.32% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 18.07%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Accrington

Wrexham
100%
Draw
0.0%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Accrington
2-0
Wrexham
Leigh (50' pen.), Longelo-Mbule (72')
Adedoyin (28')
Apr 26, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Accrington
Roberts (90' pen.)
Evans (20')
Pejic (7' og.), Cavanagh (28'), Whalley (72')
Craney (20'), Whalley (72'), Cavanagh (73')
Oct 5, 2007 3pm
Accrington
0-2
Wrexham

Webb (84')
Roberts (37', 66')
Jan 1, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Accrington
Johnson (45')
Crowell (13'), Valentine (36'), Evans (55')
Brown (83', 86'), Mullin (17')
Harris (30')
Sep 13, 2006 3pm
Accrington
5-0
Wrexham
Cavanagh (55'), Roberts (52', 67'), Craney (49'), Mullin (41')
Cavanagh (30')

Valentine (81'), Llewellyn (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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