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Leagues Cup | Round of 16
Aug 14, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Colorado Rapids

Toluca
1 - 2
Colorado

Paulinho (83')
Amaya (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Navarro (45'), Yapi (90+6')
Mihailovic (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Leagues Cup clash between Toluca and Colorado Rapids, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 2-2 Houston (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, August 10 at 1.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Juarez 2-3 Colorado
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30am in Leagues Cup

We said: Toluca 3-2 Colorado Rapids

While knockout ties can get cagey at times, Toluca and Colorado Rapids both showed no signs of holding back last time out, which bodes well for the potential entertainment value of Wednesday's meeting. We are backing the hosts to make home advantage count and get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.89%) and 3-1 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawColorado Rapids
60.91% (-0.595 -0.59) 19.55% (0.227 0.23) 19.54% (0.371 0.37)
Both teams to score 63.06% (-0.175 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.52% (-0.51300000000001 -0.51)32.48% (0.517 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.88% (-0.599 -0.6)54.12% (0.602 0.6)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.58% (-0.297 -0.3)10.42% (0.302 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.03% (-0.678 -0.68)33.97% (0.682 0.68)
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (0.040999999999997 0.04)29.61% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (0.048000000000002 0.05)65.65% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 60.91%
    Colorado Rapids 19.54%
    Draw 19.55%
TolucaDrawColorado Rapids
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.24% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-0 @ 6.98% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.95% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.41% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.09% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.36% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.49% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.85% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.52% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.13% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 60.91%
1-1 @ 8.49% (0.136 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.08% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 19.55%
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.088 0.09)
0-1 @ 3.75% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.28% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 0.93% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 19.54%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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