Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.