Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
