Liga MX | 1st Leg
May 8, 2025 at 2am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer
Monterrey3 - 2Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Monterrey 2-0 Pumas
Monday, May 5 at 2.30am in Liga MX
Monday, May 5 at 2.30am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-2 Cruz Azul
Sunday, April 20 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Sunday, April 20 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
Result | ||
Monterrey | Draw | Toluca |
46.31% | 24.36% | 29.33% |
Both teams to score 57.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.02% | 44.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.67% | 67.33% |
Monterrey Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.45% | 19.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.55% | 51.45% |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.38% | 28.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.58% | 64.42% |
Score Analysis |
Monterrey 46.31%
Toluca 29.33%
Draw 24.35%
Monterrey | Draw | Toluca |
2-1 @ 9.33% 1-0 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 5.07% 3-0 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.07% Total : 46.31% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 7.15% 0-1 @ 7% 0-2 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.64% Total : 29.33% |
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2025 1am
Feb 19, 2024 2.10am