Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Apr 6, 2025 at 2.05am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer
Monterrey3 - 1Guadalajara
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and CD Guadalajara.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a CD Guadalajara win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monterrey | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
60.47% ( 0.78) | 21.44% ( -0.27) | 18.09% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 53.43% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.21% ( 0.39) | 43.79% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.82% ( 0.38) | 66.17% ( -0.39) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.96% ( 0.37) | 14.04% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.4% ( 0.72) | 41.6% ( -0.73) |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.15% ( -0.34) | 37.84% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.38% ( -0.32) | 74.62% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
Monterrey 60.47%
CD Guadalajara 18.09%
Draw 21.43%
| Monterrey | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.89% Total : 60.47% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.43% | 0-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.09% |
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2024 2am
Jan 8, 2023 3.10am
Aug 24, 2022 1.05am
Gameweek 16
Guadalajara
1-0
Monterrey
Form Guide
