Liga MX | Gameweek 7
Sep 14, 2024 at 11.45pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca4 - 0Tijuana
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club Tijuana.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Club Tijuana |
60.29% ( 0.07) | 20.38% ( -0.04) | 19.33% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.48% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.07% ( 0.15) | 36.92% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.89% ( 0.16) | 59.1% ( -0.16) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.08% ( 0.06) | 11.92% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.72% ( 0.14) | 37.28% ( -0.14) |
| Club Tijuana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.53% ( 0.06) | 32.47% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31% ( 0.07) | 68.99% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Toluca 60.29%
Club Tijuana 19.33%
Draw 20.38%
| Toluca | Draw | Club Tijuana |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.25% Total : 60.29% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.38% | 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 19.33% |
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 12
Tijuana
3-3
Toluca
Mar 2, 2022 1am
Gameweek 8
Toluca
1-2
Tijuana
Form Guide
