Liga MX | 2nd Leg
Nov 30, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca0 - 2America
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club America.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America 2-0 Toluca
Thursday, November 28 at 1am in Liga MX
Thursday, November 28 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-0 Toluca
Thursday, November 28 at 1am in Liga MX
Thursday, November 28 at 1am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Club America had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Club America win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toluca | Draw | Club America |
43.09% ( 1.23) | 24.26% ( 0.12) | 32.64% ( -1.34) |
Both teams to score 59.48% ( -0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.96% ( -0.95) | 43.04% ( 0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.56% ( -0.95) | 65.44% ( 0.95) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.86% ( 0.15) | 20.14% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.59% ( 0.24) | 52.41% ( -0.24) |
Club America Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.47% ( -1.24) | 25.52% ( 1.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.62% ( -1.72) | 60.38% ( 1.73) |
Score Analysis |
Toluca 43.09%
Club America 32.64%
Draw 24.25%
Toluca | Draw | Club America |
2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.64% |
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2024 1am
Nov 10, 2024 1am
Gameweek 17
Toluca
4-0
America
Sep 24, 2023 7pm
Jan 15, 2023 1.05am
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-09 12:51:42
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 12 | 27 | 42 |
2 | TolucaToluca | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 35 |
3 | Tigres | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 34 |
4 | PumasPumas | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 31 |
5 | MonterreyMonterrey | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 30 |
7 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 29 |
8 | Club AmericaAmerica | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
9 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 25 |
10 | Atlas | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
11 | Club Leon | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 17 |
13 | NecaxaNecaxa | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 15 |
14 | MazatlanMazatlan | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 14 |
15 | PueblaPuebla | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 14 |
16 | PachucaPachuca | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 |
17 | QueretaroQueretaro | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 10 |
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