Liga MX | Gameweek 13
Oct 23, 2024 at 4.05am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca5 - 0Puebla
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Puebla.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Queretaro 0-1 Toluca
Saturday, October 19 at 2am in Liga MX
Saturday, October 19 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-2 Cruz Azul
Saturday, October 19 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Saturday, October 19 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
16
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 72.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 11.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for a Puebla win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Puebla |
72.81% ( 3.48) | 16.18% ( -1.15) | 11.01% ( -2.33) |
| Both teams to score 53.19% ( -3.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
