Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Nov 7, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
Tigres2 - 1Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Tigres and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tijuana 0-3 Tigres
Saturday, November 2 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Saturday, November 2 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-2 Club Leon
Saturday, November 2 at 11pm in Liga MX
Saturday, November 2 at 11pm in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigres | Draw | Toluca |
46.85% ( 0.44) | 24.59% ( -0.13) | 28.56% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 56.14% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
