Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps
Auxerre1 - 3Lyon
FT(HT: 0-0)
We said: Auxerre 1-1 Lyon
Auxerre have been in strong form in recent weeks and have proven themselves against even the top clubs in France, so expect a close-fought game. Additionally, the hosts' excellent home record throughout the season suggests that Lyon are in for a tough match, and the spoils are likely to be shared on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Lyon |
25.87% ( -1.01) | 23.99% ( -0.1) | 50.14% ( 1.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.92% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.29% ( -0.33) | 45.71% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.97% ( -0.31) | 68.03% ( 0.31) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.43% ( -0.96) | 31.56% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.04% ( -1.12) | 67.96% ( 1.11) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% ( 0.31) | 18.28% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.64% ( 0.52) | 49.35% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
Auxerre 25.87%
Lyon 50.14%
Draw 23.98%
| Auxerre | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.75% Total : 25.87% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 2% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 50.14% |
How you voted: Auxerre vs Lyon
Auxerre
17.8%Draw
17.8%Lyon
64.4%45
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 2pm
Feb 17, 2023 8pm
Aug 31, 2022 6pm
Apr 7, 2012 4pm
Nov 27, 2011 3pm
