Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 at 2pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Lyon4 - 2Le Havre
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lyon 4-0 FCSB
Thursday, March 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, March 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Le Havre 1-1 St Etienne
Sunday, March 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, March 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
We said: Lyon 4-0 Le Havre
Lyon are in fine form, and they netted four goals on Thursday against Steaua Bucharest in the Europa League. Le Havre have had a couple of decent results lately, but we think their defence will continue to ship goals against a prolific Lyon attack, so we are going for a repeat of the 4-0 scoreline from earlier this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 74.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 9.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Le Havre |
74.93% ( 0.34) | 15.08% ( -0.17) | 9.99% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.56% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.58% ( 0.35) | 32.42% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.94% ( 0.4) | 54.05% ( -0.41) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.72% ( 0.15) | 7.28% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.64% ( 0.39) | 26.36% ( -0.39) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.77% ( -0.07) | 42.23% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.37% ( -0.06) | 78.63% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Lyon 74.93%
Le Havre 9.99%
Draw 15.08%
| Lyon | Draw | Le Havre |
| 2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.53% Total : 74.93% | 1-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.08% | 1-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 9.99% |
How you voted: Lyon vs Le Havre
Lyon
92.1%Draw
7.9%Le Havre
0.0%38
