Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 2pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Lyon2 - 1Brest
We said: Lyon 2-1 Brest
While Lyon head into this encounter on the back of a defeat, falling to a PSG side that has dominated the league is hardly a cause for concern regarding a dip in form. The hosts are expected to respond with a win against Brest, given their strong record on their ground in this fixture, though it may not come easily considering the visitors' recent upturn in away performances. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lyon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Brest |
58.31% ( 0.17) | 21.42% ( -0.01) | 20.27% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.43% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
