Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Nice had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Nice win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
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