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Nice
Coupe de France | Round of 64
Jan 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Riviera
AJ Auxerre

Nice
0 - 0
Auxerre


Rosario (88')
FT

Jubal (17')
Nice win 4-2 on penalties

Preview: Nice vs. Auxerre - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Coupe de France clash between Nice and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Nice host Auxerre in Saturday's Round of 64 action in the Coupe de France at Allianz Riviera.

The Ligue 1 side begin the competition keen to avoid an early exit against the in-form Ligue 2 side.


Match preview

Villarreal's Ben Brereton Diaz in action with OGC Nice's Youssouf Ndayishimiye on August 5, 2023© Reuters

Francesco Farioli's men begin their French Cup campaign with Auxerre visiting this weekend, seeking a place in the round of 32.

Ligue 1 sides enter the competition in this round, and the Italian boss hopes his team avoid an early shock as they have not recorded a cup triumph since 1996-97.

Despite their low-scoring nature under Farioli, the Eaglets have remained undefeated at the Allianz Riviera all season, claiming five straight victories and conceding just one goal in the last eight matches in front of their supporters.

Whether the Europe-chasing hosts sustain this in the cup is anyone's guess, but their approach theoretically should translate smoothly in knockout football.

After exiting at this stage last season to lowly Le Puy, Nice are in better shape to deal with Auxerre's threat on Saturday.

Auxerre's Birama Toure celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on April 30, 2023© Reuters

However, the Eaglets must be wary of the visiting side whose winning run in all competitions stands at five, including a 4-1 victory over Sainz-Meziery in the eighth round.

The promotion-chasing Burgundy outfit have not tasted success in this competition since 2006, although they did reach the final in 2015 but suffered a marginal 1-0 defeat against Paris Saint-Germain.

Heading into Saturday's encounter, Christophe Pelissier's troops occupy the second automatic promotion spot in Ligue 2, undefeated in the competition since early November.

While top-flight promotion is the club's ambition, a cup run plus ascent to Ligue 1 would gratify the club's supporters, but they must stun the title-chasing Nice to progress.

Pelissier's men are the top-scoring side in the second tier, and they hope their tendency to find the back of the net benefits them against the Eaglets' watertight rearguard.

Nice form (all competitions):


Auxerre form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Terem Moffi celebrates scoring for Nice against Paris Saint-Germain© Reuters

Youcef Atal, still suspended "until further notice" by Nice after his antisemitic Instagram post, has been included by Algeria for this month's Africa Cup of Nations finals; Hicham Boudaoui is also absent after his selection for the North African nation, while Jeremie Boga was picked for the Ivory Coast.

However, Terem Moffi could start in the attack after being omitted from Nigeria's final AFCON group.

Farioli is expected to be without Badredine Bouanani (ankle), Aliou Balde (knee), Khephren Thuram (knee) and Sofiane Diop (toe) for Saturday's tie.

Auxerre's front four is disrupted by Lassine Sinayoko's AFCON participation with Mali, even if Gaetan Perrin still provides a threat from the flanks, and Gauthier Hien should be deployed behind central striker Florian Aye.

The visitors are also forced into a change at left-back, with Ghana's Gideon Mensah away on international duty, and he is joined by fellow Black Star Elisha Owusu.


Nice possible starting lineup:
Bulka; Lotomba, Mendy, Dante, Bard; Sanson, Ndayishimiye, Rosario; Laborde, Moffi, Bouanani

Auxerre possible starting lineup:
Leon; Joly, Jubal, Pellenard, Akpa; Diousse, Ravelosun; Perrin, Hein, Maddy; Aye


SM words green background

We say: Nice 2-1 Auxerre

Farioli's team should avoid an early exit against the Ligue 2 contenders as Nice extend their undefeated run against Auxerre to five games.


Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:curl


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Written by
Anthony Brown

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