Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Louis II
Monaco7 - 1Ajaccio
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lorient 2-2 Monaco
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-1 Reims
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1
We said: Monaco 2-0 Ajaccio
Monaco have been rather ropey in the last week, but they should be able to show off their credentials here against a struggling Ajaccio side. The visitors are without a number of first-team players and are finding it difficult to score goals so it could be a long afternoon for the Corsican side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Ajaccio |
60.49% ( 0.07) | 23.02% ( 0.02) | 16.49% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 45.46% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
