Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Reims in this match.
Result | ||
Ajaccio | Draw | Reims |
33.4% ( -7.38) | 28.58% ( 0.02) | 38.02% ( 7.36) |
Both teams to score 45.89% ( 0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.5% ( 0.47) | 60.5% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.38% ( 0.35) | 80.61% ( -0.35) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.26% ( -4.39) | 33.73% ( 4.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.61% ( -5.07) | 70.39% ( 5.07) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.26% ( 5.23) | 30.74% ( -5.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33% ( 5.74) | 67% ( -5.74) |
Score Analysis |
Ajaccio | Draw | Reims |
1-0 @ 11.26% ( -1.67) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.89) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( -1.81) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.7) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( -1.02) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.39% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.57% | 0-1 @ 12.23% ( 1.44) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 1.07) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 1.7) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.78) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.96) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.26) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.32) Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |