Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
We said: Auxerre 0-1 Monaco
Monaco look a lot more compact on the road than they do at Stade Louis II, and their creativity in the midfield, along with some in-form strikers, should make it difficult for Auxerre to get a foothold in this game.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.75% . A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.58%) . The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%) . The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result Auxerre Draw Monaco 29.46% ( 2.75) 24.79% ( 0.21) 45.75% ( -2.96)
Both teams to score 56.06% ( 1.34)
53.19% ( 0.83) 46.81% ( -0.84)
30.93% ( 0.77) 69.06% ( -0.78)
70.54% ( 2.47) 29.45% ( -2.48)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.54% ( 2.92) 65.46% ( -2.93)
79.47% ( -0.92) 20.52% ( 0.92)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.97% ( -1.47) 53.02% ( 1.47)
Auxerre 29.46%
Monaco 45.75%
Draw 24.78%
Auxerre Draw Monaco 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.38) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.29) Other @ 3.34% Total : 29.46% 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.78% 0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.63) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.73) 1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 4% ( -0.51) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.25) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 45.75%
How you voted: Auxerre vs Monaco
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rhs 2.0
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