MX23RW : Wednesday, October 2 15:48:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Monaco

Auxerre
2 - 3
Monaco

Niang (30' pen.), Fofana (68' og.)
Jeanvier (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ben Yedder (45+3' pen.), Ben Seghir (58', 85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 5-0 Auxerre
Sunday, November 13 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Leeds 2-4 Monaco
Wednesday, December 21 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Auxerre 0-1 Monaco

Monaco look a lot more compact on the road than they do at Stade Louis II, and their creativity in the midfield, along with some in-form strikers, should make it difficult for Auxerre to get a foothold in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawMonaco
29.46% (2.752 2.75) 24.79% (0.205 0.21) 45.75% (-2.963 -2.96)
Both teams to score 56.06% (1.34 1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19% (0.83300000000001 0.83)46.81% (-0.839 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.93% (0.775 0.77)69.06% (-0.78 -0.78)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (2.471 2.47)29.45% (-2.476 -2.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (2.92 2.92)65.46% (-2.925 -2.93)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (-0.92 -0.92)20.52% (0.916 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (-1.474 -1.47)53.02% (1.469 1.47)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 29.46%
    Monaco 45.75%
    Draw 24.78%
AuxerreDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 7.39% (0.241 0.24)
2-1 @ 7.15% (0.504 0.5)
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.436 0.44)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.384 0.38)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.246 0.25)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.287 0.29)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 29.46%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.247 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 9.57% (-0.627 -0.63)
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.221 -0.22)
0-2 @ 7.58% (-0.729 -0.73)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-3 @ 4% (-0.511 -0.51)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.049 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 45.75%

How you voted: Auxerre vs Monaco

Auxerre
7.1%
Draw
11.9%
Monaco
81.0%
84
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG65102051516
2MonacoMonaco6510123916
3Marseille6411157813
4Reims6321108211
5Lille6312117410
6Lens624052310
7NantesNantes62319639
8StrasbourgStrasbourg6231121029
9Nice622214688
10Rennes621310917
11Lyon6213812-47
12Auxerre6204812-46
13Brest6204813-56
14Le HavreLe Havre6204713-66
15Toulouse612358-35
16Montpellier HSCMontpellier6114617-114
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne6114317-144
18Angers6024412-82


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