Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Ajaccio |
44.98% ( -0.15) | 25.92% ( 0.07) | 29.1% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 52.19% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.23% ( -0.28) | 51.76% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.47% ( -0.25) | 73.53% ( 0.24) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.05% ( -0.19) | 22.95% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.28% ( -0.28) | 56.72% ( 0.27) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.73% ( -0.1) | 32.27% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.23% ( -0.11) | 68.77% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.02% 3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.98% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |