Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Monaco win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Monaco |
56.96% ( 0.03) | 21.73% ( -0.02) | 21.31% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.99% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.61% ( 0.06) | 40.39% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.23% ( 0.06) | 62.77% ( -0.06) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.99% ( 0.03) | 14.01% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.45% ( 0.05) | 41.55% ( -0.06) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.43% ( 0.02) | 32.56% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.9% ( 0.02) | 69.1% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 9.89% 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 56.96% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.73% | 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 21.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |