Rennes1 - 2Marseille
We said: Rennes 1-2 Marseille
This fixture pits the league's most prolific away attack against the strongest home defence. While both sides will aim to hold firm given their respective strengths, Marseille are favoured to edge it, having recorded five consecutive wins on their travels across all competitions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Marseille |
36.97% ( -0.13) | 25.73% ( 0.05) | 37.31% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.05% ( -0.22) | 48.95% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.96% ( -0.2) | 71.03% ( 0.2) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( -0.17) | 25.8% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.24% ( -0.24) | 60.75% ( 0.24) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.39% ( -0.05) | 25.61% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.5% ( -0.07) | 60.49% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.97% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.31% |
