Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Strasbourg |
45.25% (![]() | 24.53% (![]() | 30.22% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.38% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.71% (![]() | 45.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.37% (![]() | 67.63% (![]() |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.88% (![]() | 20.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.62% (![]() | 52.38% (![]() |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% (![]() | 28.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.14% (![]() | 63.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Strasbourg |
2-1 @ 9.23% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.09% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.25% | 1-1 @ 11.51% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.67% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 7.29% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 54 | 19 | 35 | 50 |
2 | Marseille | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 40 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 37 |
4 | Lille | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 35 |
5 | Nice | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 34 |
6 | Lens | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 |
7 | Lyon | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 26 |
11 | Auxerre | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 23 |
12 | Angers | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
13 | Reims | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 21 |
15 | Rennes | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 20 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 18 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 14 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |