MX23RW : Thursday, January 23 17:54:17| >> :60:84:84:
Bayern logo
Club Friendlies
Aug 7, 2023 at 4pm UK
Alpenbauer Sportpark
Monaco

Bayern
4 - 2
Monaco

Laimer (31'), Musiala (42'), Gnabry (45+2' pen.), Sane (68')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Minamino (29'), Ben Yedder (64' pen.)
Camara (57'), Magassa (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Bayern Munich and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 3-4 Bayern
Wednesday, August 2 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Monaco (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 2 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Bayern Munich 3-2 Monaco

Despite Monaco's superior match sharpness, they may be on the receiving end of a marginal defeat at the hands of Bayern. The goals have flowed in these teams' pre-season games, and a high-scoring affair could be on the cards yet again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.39%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.19%) and 3-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawMonaco
57.39% (-1.566 -1.57) 20.25% (0.395 0.4) 22.36% (1.169 1.17)
Both teams to score 65.03% (0.29600000000001 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.12% (-0.36800000000001 -0.37)31.88% (0.368 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.57% (-0.43 -0.43)53.42% (0.432 0.43)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.86% (-0.518 -0.52)11.14% (0.518 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.42% (-1.152 -1.15)35.58% (1.154 1.15)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (0.756 0.76)26.81% (-0.755 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89% (0.983 0.98)62.11% (-0.983 -0.98)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 57.39%
    Monaco 22.36%
    Draw 20.25%
Bayern MunichDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.93% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-0 @ 6.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.8% (-0.174 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.89% (-0.197 -0.2)
4-2 @ 2.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.67% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.1% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 57.39%
1-1 @ 8.63% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.121 0.12)
0-0 @ 2.99% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 2% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.25%
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.229 0.23)
0-1 @ 3.93% (0.16 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.59% (0.157 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.151 0.15)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 22.36%

How you voted: Bayern vs Monaco

Bayern Munich
88.9%
Draw
7.4%
Monaco
3.7%
27
rhs 2.0
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