Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Monaco |
40.46% ( 0.78) | 26.12% ( 0.15) | 33.42% ( -0.94) |
Both teams to score 53.39% ( -0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.95% ( -0.81) | 51.05% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.09% ( -0.72) | 72.91% ( 0.71) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.13% ( 0.05) | 24.87% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.52% ( 0.06) | 59.48% ( -0.07) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.07% ( -0.98) | 28.93% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.18% ( -1.24) | 64.81% ( 1.24) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 40.46% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |