Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Strasbourg |
61.34% | 20.66% | 17.99% |
Both teams to score 55.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.59% | 40.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.21% | 62.78% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.29% | 12.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.08% | 38.91% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.06% | 35.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.28% | 72.72% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Strasbourg |
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.72% 1-0 @ 9.42% 3-1 @ 6.84% 3-0 @ 6.68% 4-1 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 3.5% 4-0 @ 3.45% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.46% 5-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.57% Total : 61.34% | 1-1 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 5.09% 0-0 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.66% | 1-2 @ 4.93% 0-1 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.74% 1-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.58% Total : 17.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |