Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36

May 21, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade de l'Aube

Troyes
1 - 1
Strasbourg

Lopes (73')
Palmer-Brown (22')
Gallon (58')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Diarra (27')
Perrin (55')
Djiku (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions

Last Game: Rennes 4-0 Troyes
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Nice
Saturday, May 13 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Troyes 1-3 Strasbourg

Troyes will be keen to avoid bowing out of the top flight on a whimper and will hope to secure at least one victory from their final two home games to give their supporters something to cheer about. However, Strasbourg have hit a strong run of form at a crucial stage in their season and we believe that the Racers will run out comfortable winners, securing their Ligue 1 status in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Strasbourg
24.79% ( 1.3)	23.62% ( 0.77)	51.59% ( -2.08)

Both teams to score 56.03% (

-1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.95% (

-2.17)

45.05% (

2.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.6% (

-2.12)

67.4% (

2.12)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.9% (

-0.09)

32.09% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.43% (

-0.1)

68.57% (

0.09)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.51% (

-1.54)

17.48% (

1.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.02% (

-2.75)

47.97% (

2.75)

Score Analysis

Troyes 24.79%

Strasbourg 51.59%

Draw 23.62%

Troyes	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.61% Total : 24.79%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.45) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.62%	0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.64% ( -0.36) 0-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.25) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.76% Total : 51.59%