Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Strasbourg |
24.79% ( 1.3) | 23.62% ( 0.77) | 51.59% ( -2.08) |
Both teams to score 56.03% ( -1.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.95% ( -2.17) | 45.05% ( 2.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.6% ( -2.12) | 67.4% ( 2.12) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.9% ( -0.09) | 32.09% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.43% ( -0.1) | 68.57% ( 0.09) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.51% ( -1.54) | 17.48% ( 1.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.02% ( -2.75) | 47.97% ( 2.75) |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.61% Total : 24.79% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.45) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.62% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.64% ( -0.36) 0-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.25) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.76% Total : 51.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |