Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
45.45% ( 0.01) | 23.81% ( -0) | 30.74% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.2% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.3% ( 0.01) | 41.7% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.9% ( 0.01) | 64.1% ( -0.01) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.41% ( 0.01) | 18.59% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.13% ( 0.02) | 49.87% ( -0.02) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.95% ( 0) | 26.05% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.91% ( 0) | 61.09% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 45.45% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |