Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38

Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
2 - 1
Strasbourg

Faivre (10', 36')
Abergel (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bellegarde (57')
Bellegarde (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Clermont 2-0 Lorient
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 PSG
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lorient 2-2 Strasbourg

With both sides only playing for pride, the two could take their foot off the pedal and play with more freedom here. Strasbourg have been impressive in attack in particular despite their lowly league position, and they could well take something from this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Strasbourg
31.22% ( 0.18)	27.19% ( 0.58)	41.58% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 49.33% (

-1.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.07% (

-2.17)

55.92% (

2.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.97% (

-1.79)

77.02% (

1.79)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.12% (

-0.99)

32.88% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.54% (

-1.12)

69.45% (

1.11)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.49% (

-1.39)

26.5% (

1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.3% (

-1.87)

61.69% (

1.87)

Score Analysis

Lorient 31.22%

Strasbourg 41.58%

Draw 27.19%

Lorient	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.54) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.22%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.7) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.19%	0-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.58%