Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12

Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Gabriel Montpied

Clermont
1 - 0
Lorient

Nicholson (69' pen.)
Oumar Konate (10'), Cham (47'), Seidu (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Toure (51'), Mendy (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 0-0 Clermont
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 0-0 Lens
Saturday, November 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both these sides have performed well below their usual level, and based on their current records, it looks as though they are going to battle out this season at the bottom of the table unless they can put together a run of good results. Neither team have done enough this season to suggest they can go on to win this match; therefore, we are backing a score draw in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Clermont in this match.

Result
Clermont	Draw	Lorient
43.93% ( -0.08)	26.28% ( 0.02)	29.79% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 51.48% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.13% (

-0.03)

52.87% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.52% (

-0.03)

74.49% (

0.03)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.07% (

-0.05)

23.93% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.85% (

-0.07)

58.15% (

0.07)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.67% (

0.03)

32.33% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.16% (

0.03)

68.84% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Clermont 43.93%

Lorient 29.79%

Draw 26.27%

Clermont	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 43.93%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.79%