Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
Clermont2 - 0Lorient
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-3 Lens
Sunday, May 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, May 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
We said: Clermont 2-1 Lorient
Lorient have netted in five straight away games — including a 3-1 victory over table-topping Paris Saint-Germain — although they are expected to fall short against a Clermont side seeking their fifth win on the trot at the Stade Gabriel-Montpied. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Lorient |
46.5% ( 0.01) | 24.88% ( -0) | 28.61% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.31% ( -0.01) | 47.68% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.12% ( -0.01) | 69.88% ( 0.01) |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( -0) | 20.55% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.92% ( -0) | 53.07% ( 0) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% ( -0.02) | 30.51% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.27% ( -0.02) | 66.73% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Clermont 46.5%
Lorient 28.61%
Draw 24.87%
| Clermont | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.5% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.61% |
How you voted: Clermont vs Lorient
Clermont
76.2%Draw
14.3%Lorient
9.5%21
Head to Head
