Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Lorient |
46.5% ( 0.01) | 24.88% ( -0) | 28.61% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.31% ( -0.01) | 47.68% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.12% ( -0.01) | 69.88% ( 0.01) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.44% ( -0) | 20.55% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.92% ( -0) | 53.07% ( 0) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.49% ( -0.02) | 30.51% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.27% ( -0.02) | 66.73% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.5% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |