Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nice in this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Nice |
27.6% ( -0.01) | 26.18% ( 0.02) | 46.22% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.44% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.42% ( -0.08) | 53.58% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.92% ( -0.06) | 75.08% ( 0.07) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.63% ( -0.04) | 34.37% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.92% ( -0.05) | 71.08% ( 0.05) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.86% ( -0.04) | 23.14% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.99% ( -0.06) | 57.01% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 27.6% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.16% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 46.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |