Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nice in this match.