Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Lyon |
26.08% ( 0) | 25.67% ( -0) | 48.25% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.78% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.44% ( 0) | 52.56% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.78% ( 0) | 74.21% ( -0.01) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.93% ( 0.01) | 35.06% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.19% ( 0.01) | 71.81% ( -0.01) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.2% ( -0) | 21.79% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45% ( -0) | 55% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.07% Total : 26.08% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 7.64% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 11.64% 1-2 @ 9.3% 0-2 @ 8.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.72% 0-3 @ 4.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.29% Total : 48.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |