Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
62.58% (![]() | 20.26% (![]() | 17.15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.94% (![]() | 40.05% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.57% (![]() | 62.42% (![]() |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.75% (![]() | 12.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.04% (![]() | 37.96% (![]() |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.31% (![]() | 36.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.52% (![]() | 73.48% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-1 @ 9.93% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.91% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.43% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.95% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.94% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 3.75% Total : 62.58% | 1-1 @ 9.46% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.49% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.26% | 1-2 @ 4.74% 0-1 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.59% ( ![]() Other @ 2.4% Total : 17.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |