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Ligue 1
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 7, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Montpellier

Lyon
5 - 4
Montpellier

Lacazette (31', 59', 82', 90+10' pen.), Lovren (70')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Wahi (40', 41', 53' pen., 55')
Wahi (54'), Sacko (89'), Jullien (90+8'), Der Zakarian (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Lyon
Friday, April 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Monaco 0-4 Montpellier
Sunday, April 30 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 2-1 Montpellier HSC

 Even with creator-in-chief Savanier helplessly watching on, Montpellier tore Monaco to shreds last weekend and can expect similar joy in front of goal against a leaky and depleted Lyon backline. A change in shape from Lyon will benefit their attacking endeavours, but with both Khazri and Savanier unavailable for the visitors, a Montpellier side lacking a creative force may just fall short at the Groupama Stadium this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawMontpellier HSC
62.58% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 20.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 17.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 55.56% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.94% (0.082000000000001 0.08)40.05% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.57% (0.085000000000001 0.09)62.42% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.75% (0.031999999999996 0.03)12.24% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.04% (0.064999999999998 0.06)37.96% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31% (0.046999999999997 0.05)36.69% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.52% (0.048999999999999 0.05)73.48% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 62.58%
    Montpellier HSC 17.15%
    Draw 20.26%
LyonDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.95% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.65% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.53% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 62.58%
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.26%
1-2 @ 4.74%
0-1 @ 4.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 17.15%

How you voted: Lyon vs Montpellier

Lyon
70.8%
Draw
25.0%
Montpellier HSC
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 4pm
gameweek 12
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
Wahi (70')
Aouar (33'), Lacazette (90')
Aouar (7')
Apr 23, 2022 4pm
gameweek 34
Lyon
5-2
Montpellier
Dembele (26'), Mendes (43'), Aouar (63', 90+1'), Toko Ekambi (68')
Boateng (75'), Gusto (89')
Wahi (45+1'), Savanier (45+3' pen.)
Oyongo (28'), Cozza (42')
Nov 28, 2021 4pm
gameweek 15
Montpellier
0-1
Lyon

Ferri (68')
Paqueta (17')
Slimani (29'), Caqueret (40'), Boateng (45'), Palmieri (67')
Feb 13, 2021 8pm
gameweek 25
Lyon
1-2
Montpellier
Paqueta (45+1')
Savanier (20'), Wahi (65')
Ristic (49')
Sep 15, 2020 8pm
gameweek 1
Montpellier
2-1
Lyon
Savanier (38' pen., 59')
Delort (7'), Ferri (62'), Hilton (71')
Hilton (81')
Depay (82' pen.)
Guimaraes (36'), Toko Ekambi (45+2')
Aouar (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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