Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
We said: Strasbourg 1-1 Lyon
Any result for Strasbourg here will feel important with the two sides below them not playing this weekend, and Auxerre facing Marseille away.
Lyon have only lost one of their last nine away games, and despite last week's disappointment, they should be able to extend that run here.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.45% . A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.77%) . The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result Strasbourg Draw Lyon 33.86% ( 0.05) 25.68% ( -0.01) 40.45% ( -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.95% ( 0.03)
50.9% ( 0.04) 49.1% ( -0.03)
28.83% ( 0.03) 71.17% ( -0.03)
72.3% ( 0.05) 27.7% ( -0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.74% ( 0.06) 63.26% ( -0.06)
76% ( -0) 24% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.75% ( -0.01) 58.25% ( 0.01)
Strasbourg 33.86%
Lyon 40.45%
Draw 25.67%
Strasbourg Draw Lyon 1-0 @ 8.53% 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 33.86% 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67% 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.45%
How you voted: Strasbourg vs Lyon
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rhs 2.0
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