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Ligue 1
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Marseille

Lyon
1 - 2
Marseille

Lacazette (68')
Diomande (30'), Tolisso (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Under (44'), Gusto (90+2' og.)
Kolasinac (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Lyon
Friday, April 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 3-1 Troyes
Sunday, April 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 1-2 Marseille

 Sparks always tend to fly when the Choc des Olympiques takes place - whether they be from the stands or on the pitch - and given Lyon's recent upturn in results coupled with Marseille's string of failures at the Groupama Stadium, this is an extremely difficult derby to call. Marseille have proven adept at keeping the back door shut on the road all season long, though, and while Lyon should feel confident of breaching the Olympiens' backline, a Gones side who often underperform at home might come up just short against the away-day specialists. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
LyonDrawMarseille
34.58% (0.253 0.25) 25.77% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 39.64% (-0.175 -0.18)
Both teams to score 54.81% (0.314 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (0.38 0.38)49.34% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (0.342 0.34)71.39% (-0.34399999999999 -0.34)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (0.339 0.34)27.37% (-0.34 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (0.434 0.43)62.84% (-0.436 -0.44)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (0.079999999999998 0.08)24.53% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41% (0.113 0.11)59% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 34.59%
    Marseille 39.64%
    Draw 25.76%
LyonDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 8.7% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.64% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.43% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.59%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 9.44% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.02% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 39.64%

How you voted: Lyon vs Marseille

Lyon
31.8%
Draw
21.2%
Marseille
47.1%
85
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 14
Marseille
1-0
Lyon
Gigot (43')

Tete (90')
May 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 35
Marseille
0-3
Lyon

Sampaoli (28'), Lopez (57'), Gueye (71')
Lukeba (55'), Dembele (76'), Toko Ekambi (88')
Dembele (60')
Feb 1, 2022 8pm
gameweek 14
Lyon
2-1
Marseille
Shaqiri (76'), Dembele (89')
Guendouzi (10')
Feb 28, 2021 8pm
gameweek 27
Marseille
1-1
Lyon
Milik (44' pen.)
Kamara (64'), Payet (78'), Gonzalez (81'), Gueye (90+5')
Toko Ekambi (21')
Paqueta (42'), Mendes (78'), Depay (81')
Paqueta (71')
Oct 4, 2020 8pm
gameweek 6
Lyon
1-1
Marseille
Aouar (28' pen.)
Guimaraes (86')
Payet (16')
Caleta-Car (4'), Bamba (45+4')
Payet (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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