Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 54.11%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 23.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
