Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
44.67% ( 2.83) | 25.42% ( -0.42) | 29.91% ( -2.4) |
Both teams to score 54.25% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.7% ( 0.88) | 49.3% ( -0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.65% ( 0.79) | 71.35% ( -0.78) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.95% ( 1.73) | 22.04% ( -1.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.62% ( 2.55) | 55.38% ( -2.55) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.59% ( -1.19) | 30.41% ( 1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.39% ( -1.44) | 66.61% ( 1.45) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.38) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.43) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.31% Total : 44.66% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.57) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.51) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.27) Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |