Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 63.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
63.61% (![]() | 20.54% (![]() | 15.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.66% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.22% (![]() | 43.78% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.83% (![]() | 66.17% (![]() |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.91% (![]() | 13.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.29% (![]() | 39.71% (![]() |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.44% (![]() | 40.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.84% (![]() | 77.16% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-0 @ 10.97% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.79% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.9% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 3.1% Total : 63.6% | 1-1 @ 9.74% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.55% | 0-1 @ 4.79% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 1.83% Total : 15.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 22 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 59 | 20 | 39 | 56 |
2 | Marseille | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 46 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Nice | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Lille | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Lyon | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Lens | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 |
8 | Brest | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 32 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Toulouse | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 27 |
11 | Auxerre | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 25 |
12 | Rennes | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Angers | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Reims | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 22 |
15 | NantesNantes | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 21 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 18 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 17 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |