MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 12:59:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 2, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Montpellier

Toulouse
4 - 2
Montpellier

Spierings (18'), Aboukhlal (24'), Chaibi (31'), Dejaegere (48')
Desler (15'), Sylla (43'), Spierings (60'), Genreau (73')
Desler (60')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Cozza (7'), Wahi (68')
Ferri (16'), Chotard (33'), Savanier (53'), Wahi (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Toulouse
Saturday, September 17 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, September 17 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 2-2 Montpellier HSC

Montpellier games have tended to be high-scoring affairs this season, so we expect them to carry on in this vein, but Toulouse should have enough about them to get a point at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 63.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawMontpellier HSC
63.61% (0.339 0.34) 20.54% (0.044 0.04) 15.84% (-0.379 -0.38)
Both teams to score 51.66% (-1.017 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.22% (-0.91699999999999 -0.92)43.78% (0.921 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.83% (-0.903 -0.9)66.17% (0.907 0.91)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91% (-0.182 -0.18)13.09% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.29% (-0.376 -0.38)39.71% (0.38200000000001 0.38)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.44% (-1.041 -1.04)40.56% (1.046 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.84% (-0.955 -0.96)77.16% (0.96000000000001 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 63.6%
    Montpellier HSC 15.84%
    Draw 20.55%
ToulouseDrawMontpellier HSC
2-0 @ 10.97% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.44% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.78% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.117 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.54% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 63.6%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.211 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.55%
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 15.84%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Montpellier

Toulouse
38.9%
Draw
30.6%
Montpellier HSC
30.6%
36
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2019 4pm
Montpellier
3-0
Toulouse
Laborde (43'), Le Tallec (59'), Savanier (75')
Chotard (34'), Sambia (87')

Sangare (39'), Vainqueur (41')
Apr 14, 2019 2pm
Montpellier
2-1
Toulouse
Skhiri (54'), Camara (77')
Mendes (51'), Mollet (63')
Sidibe (67')
Jullien (86')
Oct 27, 2018 7pm
Toulouse
0-3
Montpellier

Durmaz (22'), Jean (90')
Laborde (21'), Delort (24'), Reynet (90' og.)
Delort (1')
Jan 20, 2018 7pm
Montpellier
2-1
Toulouse
Sambia (43'), Sio (90')
Lasne (54')
Imbula (30')
Jullien (17'), Sylla (45'), Delort (72'), Lafont (80')
Gradel (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG22175059203956
2Marseille22144450262446
3MonacoMonaco22124644291540
4Nice21107441261537
5Lille2198434221235
6Lyon2196636261033
7Lens219662520533
8Brest22102103538-332
9StrasbourgStrasbourg218673532330
10Toulouse227692325-227
11Auxerre226793137-625
12Rennes2172122930-123
13Angers2165102231-923
14Reims215792633-722
15NantesNantes224992539-1421
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2253142050-3018
17Le HavreLe Havre2152141740-2317
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2143142048-2815


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!