Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11

Oct 15, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
1 - 0
Montpellier

Said (67')
Medina (19'), Machado (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wahi (19'), Esteve (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 1-0 Lens
Sunday, October 9 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, October 9 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lens 3-1 Montpellier HSC

Facing a leaky Montpellier side is just what the doctor ordered for Lens to get back to winning ways, as Dall'Oglio just cannot find the right defensive formula for his side, and the absence of Ferri should certainly be felt. A team led by Dall'Oglio is always capable of threatening in the final third, but Lens have very few blots on the notebook from their home endeavours so far and should maintain their perfect winning record at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis to get back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 68.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 12.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Montpellier HSC
68.08% ( -0.02)	19.36% ( 0.01)	12.55% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 46.87% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.36% (

0.02)

45.63% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.04% (

0.02)

67.96% (

-0.02)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.63% (

12.37% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.77% (

38.22% (

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.49% (

0.04)

46.5% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.89% (

0.03)

82.11% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Lens 68.08%

Montpellier HSC 12.55%

Draw 19.36%

Lens	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-0 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 12.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 68.08%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 19.36%	0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 12.55%