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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Montpellier

Lens
1 - 0
Montpellier

Said (67')
Medina (19'), Machado (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wahi (19'), Esteve (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Lens
Sunday, October 9 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, October 9 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 3-1 Montpellier HSC

 Facing a leaky Montpellier side is just what the doctor ordered for Lens to get back to winning ways, as Dall'Oglio just cannot find the right defensive formula for his side, and the absence of Ferri should certainly be felt. A team led by Dall'Oglio is always capable of threatening in the final third, but Lens have very few blots on the notebook from their home endeavours so far and should maintain their perfect winning record at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis to get back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 68.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 12.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawMontpellier HSC
68.08% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02) 19.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 12.55% (0.019 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.87% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.36% (0.021000000000001 0.02)45.63% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04% (0.018999999999998 0.02)67.96% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.63% (0.0010000000000048 0)12.37% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.77% (0.0020000000000024 0)38.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.49% (0.039999999999999 0.04)46.5% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.89% (0.031000000000002 0.03)82.11% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lens 68.08%
    Montpellier HSC 12.55%
    Draw 19.36%
LensDrawMontpellier HSC
2-0 @ 12.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 12.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 8.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 68.08%
1-1 @ 9.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 3.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 19.36%
0-1 @ 4.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 3.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 12.55%

How you voted: Lens vs Montpellier

Lens
80.3%
Draw
9.8%
Montpellier HSC
9.8%
61
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Lens
2-0
Montpellier
Costa (37'), Ganago (75')
Costa (70')
Oct 17, 2021 4pm
Montpellier
1-0
Lens
Mavididi (47')
Chotard (58'), Esteve (67'), Ferri (68')
Ferri (86')

Wooh (29'), Costa (62'), Jean (77'), Said (81')
Jan 30, 2021 4pm
Montpellier
1-2
Lens
Wahi (78')
Mavididi (15'), Mendes (16'), Laborde (18'), Hilton (48')
Doucoure (7'), Kakuta (67')
Sotoca (51'), Banza (55'), Mauricio (83'), Haidara (90')
Dec 12, 2020 8pm
Lens
2-3
Montpellier
Omlin (36' og.), Kakuta (50' pen.)
Cahuzac (75')
Mavididi (16'), Mendes (26'), Laborde (69')
Mendes (38')
May 10, 2015 1pm
Lens
0-1
Montpellier

Landre (55')
Landre (65')
Mounier (91')
Martin (58'), Tiene (86')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG22175059203956
2Marseille22144450262446
3MonacoMonaco22124644291540
4Nice21107441261537
5Lille2198434221235
6Lyon2196636261033
7Lens219662520533
8Brest22102103538-332
9StrasbourgStrasbourg218673532330
10Toulouse227692325-227
11Auxerre226793137-625
12Rennes2172122930-123
13Angers2165102231-923
14Reims215792633-722
15NantesNantes224992539-1421
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2253142050-3018
17Le HavreLe Havre2152141740-2317
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2143142048-2815
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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