Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Marseille | 4 | 7 | 10 |
3 | Lens | 4 | 5 | 10 |
4 | Lyon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Lyon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
5 | Lorient | 3 | 2 | 7 |
6 | Lille | 4 | -1 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 14.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Lorient |
63.88% ( 0.01) | 21.34% ( -0.01) | 14.78% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 46.66% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.83% ( 0.03) | 49.16% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.76% ( 0.02) | 71.23% ( -0.02) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.27% ( 0.01) | 14.72% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.07% ( 0.02) | 42.92% ( -0.02) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.71% ( 0.01) | 45.28% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.83% ( 0.01) | 81.16% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 12.77% 2-0 @ 12.23% 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.81% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.74% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 63.87% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.33% | 0-1 @ 5.28% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.01% 0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.06% 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.33% Total : 14.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |