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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Lorient logo

Lens
5 - 2
Lorient

Sotoca (24', 77'), Said (28'), Abdul Samed (57'), Openda (86')
Gradit (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Moffi (41', 50')
Ouattara (58'), Abergel (60'), Moffi (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Rennes
Saturday, August 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-1 Lorient

Although both sides are unbeaten this term, we think that a Lens side that have won both of their home games this season will edge out the visitors on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 14.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawLorient
63.88% (0.013999999999996 0.01) 21.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 14.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 46.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (0.026000000000003 0.03)49.16% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (0.021999999999998 0.02)71.23% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.27% (0.013999999999996 0.01)14.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.07% (0.021999999999998 0.02)42.92% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.71% (0.010999999999996 0.01)45.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)81.16% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lens 63.87%
    Lorient 14.78%
    Draw 21.33%
LensDrawLorient
1-0 @ 12.77%
2-0 @ 12.23%
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.74% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.97% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 63.87%
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 21.33%
0-1 @ 5.28% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.01%
0-2 @ 2.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.06%
2-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 14.78%

How you voted: Lens vs Lorient

Lens
81.5%
Draw
7.4%
Lorient
11.1%
54
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 12pm
Lorient
2-0
Lens
Soumano (43'), Kone (76')

Wooh (45+1'), Haidara (79'), Frankowski (87')
Cahuzac (77')
Aug 29, 2021 2pm
Lens
2-2
Lorient
Clauss (24'), Fofana (70')
Danso (18'), Medina (75')
Lauriente (27'), Monconduit (35')
Abergel (6'), Fontaine (12'), Silva (23'), Nardi (59')
Apr 11, 2021 2pm
Lens
4-1
Lorient
Kakuta (16' pen.), Jean (39'), Kalimuendo (55'), Banza (88' pen.)
Moffi (29')
Sep 13, 2020 2pm
Lorient
2-3
Lens
Grbic (14'), Wissa (90+2' pen.)
Boisgard (6'), Laporte (30'), Diarra (45'), Le Fee (65')
Kakuta (31' pen.), Medina (34'), Ganago (63')
Cahuzac (49'), Bade (79')
Bade (90+1')
Apr 4, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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