Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens3 - 2Brest
FT(HT: 1-0)
Belkebla (66'), Del Castillo (82' pen.)
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lens 0-0 West Ham
Saturday, July 30 at 5.15pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, July 30 at 5.15pm in Club Friendlies 1
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Lens 2-1 Brest
Surely something must give, as both teams seek to end their dismal opening-day records, and it is most likely that Lens will do so, due to a combination of home advantage and their greater firepower up front. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Brest had a probability of 22.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Brest |
53.21% ( -0.19) | 24.56% ( 0.02) | 22.23% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 50.09% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.52% ( 0.1) | 51.47% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.72% ( 0.09) | 73.28% ( -0.09) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.7% ( -0.04) | 19.29% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.96% ( -0.06) | 51.04% ( 0.06) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.07% ( 0.22) | 37.93% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.3% ( 0.21) | 74.7% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Lens 53.21%
Brest 22.23%
Draw 24.56%
Lens | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 12.04% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 53.21% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.23% |
How you voted: Lens vs Brest
Lens
77.1%Draw
17.1%Brest
5.7%35
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 4pm
Nov 21, 2021 12pm
Dec 23, 2020 6pm
Lens
2-1
Brest
Kalimuendo (11'), Sotoca (34' pen.)
Apr 27, 2019 2pm