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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Marseille

Lorient
0 - 0
Marseille

FT

Malinovskyi (84'), Balerdi (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 3-1 Lorient
Sunday, April 2 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-2 Marseille

Marseille's superb record on the road cannot be ignored, and they should not lack any inspiration as the Ligue 1 title could still be up for grabs. As Lorient also lack their old attacking verve, OM should out-score their hosts and pick up three valuable points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
LorientDrawMarseille
18.09% (-0.397 -0.4) 22.66% (-0.273 -0.27) 59.26% (0.669 0.67)
Both teams to score 49.53% (0.128 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.01% (0.534 0.53)48.99% (-0.535 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.93% (0.482 0.48)71.07% (-0.482 -0.48)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.09% (-0.143 -0.14)40.91% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (-0.131 -0.13)77.48% (0.13 0.13)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82% (0.417 0.42)16.18% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.36% (0.754 0.75)45.64% (-0.754 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 18.09%
    Marseille 59.25%
    Draw 22.65%
LorientDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 5.92% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-1 @ 4.82% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-0 @ 2.64% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.43% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 18.09%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.65%
0-1 @ 12.05% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 10.98% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.81% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.67% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.96% (0.097 0.1)
0-4 @ 3.04% (0.102 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.71% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.032 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.052 0.05)
1-5 @ 0.99% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 59.25%

How you voted: Lorient vs Marseille

Lorient
2.0%
Draw
6.1%
Marseille
91.8%
49
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 6pm
May 8, 2022 4.05pm
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Marseille
4-1
Lorient
Kamara (27'), Guendouzi (56', 90+1'), Milik (85')
Lauriente (13' pen.)
Lauriente (81')
Apr 17, 2021 4pm
Marseille
3-2
Lorient
Payet (53'), Lirola (56', 90+1')
Balerdi (39')
Moffi (19', 70')
Oct 24, 2020 4pm
Lorient
0-1
Marseille

Boisgard (20'), Mendes (54'), Gravillon (74'), Pelissier (76')
Balerdi (54')
Benedetto (37'), Gonzalez (56'), Rongier (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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