Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 63.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 14.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.