Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lorient in this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Brest |
42.55% | 28.14% | 29.32% |
Both teams to score 45.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.05% | 59.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.8% | 80.2% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.13% | 27.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.52% | 63.48% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.56% | 36.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.77% | 73.23% |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 12.97% 2-1 @ 8.37% 2-0 @ 8.29% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.76% Total : 42.54% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.12% | 0-1 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.89% Total : 29.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 65 |
2 | Marseille | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 49 |
3 | Nice | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 46 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Lille | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Lyon | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 40 |
8 | Lens | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
9 | Brest | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
11 | Auxerre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Rennes | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
13 | Angers | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 27 |
14 | NantesNantes | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 24 |
15 | Reims | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 22 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |