Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Marseille |
21.79% | 23.43% | 54.78% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 52.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.66% | 47.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.44% ( 0) | 69.56% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.97% | 36.03% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.19% | 72.81% ( 0) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.84% ( 0) | 17.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.6% ( 0) | 47.4% |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 6.31% 2-1 @ 5.68% 2-0 @ 3.22% 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.7% 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.85% Total : 21.79% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 6.18% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.43% | 0-1 @ 10.89% 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-2 @ 9.6% 1-3 @ 5.76% 0-3 @ 5.64% 2-3 @ 2.94% 1-4 @ 2.54% 0-4 @ 2.49% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.81% Total : 54.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
9 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
10 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 6 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |