Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Auguste-Delaune II

Reims
1 - 0
Le Havre

Nakamura (25')
Foket (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Casimir (54')
N'Diaye (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Reims and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reims

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 2-0 Reims
Saturday, December 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Nice
Saturday, December 16 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Reims have been on the wrong side of fine margins in their losses at Nice and Lens recently, but we are expecting the hosts' fortunes to turn on Wednesday night. Le Havre were excellent in their win over Nice last time out, but we envisage a slight reality check for LH at Stade Auguste-Delaune II in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Reims in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Reims.

Result
Reims	Draw	Le Havre
46.59% ( 0.04)	25.4% ( -0.02)	28% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.1% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.75% (

0.07)

50.24% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.8% (

0.06)

72.2% (

-0.07)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.43% (

0.04)

21.57% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.35% (

0.07)

54.65% (

-0.08)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.7% (

0.02)

32.3% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.2% (

0.02)

68.8% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Reims 46.59%

Le Havre 28%

Draw 25.39%

Reims	Draw	Le Havre
1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 46.59%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 28%